How much revenue did Magic Duels make?

Magic Duels is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Magic Duels sell?

Q: How many copies did Magic Duels sell?

1.2M to 1.9M copies, based on its 24k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.2M–1.9M; from 24k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Magic Duels and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Magic Duels's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 456k–1.8M

best case 2.5M (Minion Masters)

Games like Magic Duels

A typical game among these

≈ 456k–1.8M copies

≈ $2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Minion Masters at ≈ 1.9M–3.1M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Card Game (7 of 8) and Trading Card Game (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Trading Card Game + Turn-Based Tactics.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
GWENT: The Witcher Card Game 2020	Est. copies ≈ 690k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	28k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStrategy
Yu-Gi-Oh! Duel Links 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	45k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayCard Game
Minion Masters 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	65k reviews Very Positive	PvETrading Card Game
Eternal Card Game 2018	Est. copies ≈ 214k–348k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayCard Game
The Elder Scrolls®: Legends™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 381k–619k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayCard Game
KARDS - The WW2 Card Game 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	52k reviews Mixed	Free to PlayCard Game
Faeria 2017	Est. copies ≈ 248k–403k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Card GameStrategy
Shadowverse CCG 2016	Est. copies ≈ 627k–1.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	15k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayCard Battler