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How many copies did Saint Kotar sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–12k
$40k–$107k after Steam's cut $73k–$165k before Steam's cut
from 293 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Saint Kotar and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Saint Kotar's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 639k–1.0M
best case 5.0M (Disco Elysium - The Final Cut)
Games like Saint Kotar

A typical game among these

≈ 639k–1.0M copies

≈ $3.0M–$8.6M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Disco Elysium - The Final Cut at ≈ 3.8M–6.2M copies, ≈ $41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and Detective (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry RPG + Isometric + Atmospheric; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Batman - The Telltale Series
2016
Est. copies
≈ 761k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$13.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterAdventure
Heavy Rain
2020
Est. copies
≈ 788k–1.3M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$17.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
The Wolf Among Us
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.5M–$28.2M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureDetective
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
8.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut $75.8M–$172.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
132k reviews
Very Positive
Sherlock Holmes: The Devil's Daughter
2016
Est. copies
≈ 604k–982k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureDetective
Batman: The Enemy Within - The Telltale Series
2017
Est. copies
≈ 369k–600k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureStory Rich
The Case of the Golden Idol
2022
Est. copies
≈ 273k–444k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$17.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MysteryDetective
Orwell: Keeping an Eye On You
2016
Est. copies
≈ 648k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterPolitical Sim

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