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How many copies did Aethernaut sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
from 43 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Aethernaut and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Aethernaut's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 394k–5.0M
best case 38.8M (Portal 2)
Games like Aethernaut

A typical game among these

≈ 394k–5.0M copies

≈ $4.4M–$36.2M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 680 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (8 of 8) and Puzzle (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.6M–20.5M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
199k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
The Talos Principle 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 333k–541k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Supraland
2019
Est. copies
≈ 446k–725k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerExploration
Gravitas
2019
Est. copies
≈ 206k–334k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayPuzzle
Manifold Garden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 213k–346k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleSurreal
Superliminal
2020
Est. copies
≈ 848k–1.4M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleFirst-Person
Viewfinder
2023
Est. copies
≈ 330k–536k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
32x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.