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How many copies did Karen: An Outrage Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–9k
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
from 226 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Karen: An Outrage Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Karen: An Outrage Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 177k–557k
best case 1.9M (The Henry Stickmin Collection)
Games like Karen: An Outrage Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 177k–557k copies

≈ $679k–$4.9M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Henry Stickmin Collection at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choices Matter (6 of 8) and Comedy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Multiple Endings + Choose Your Own Adventure, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

House Party
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Est. copies
≈ 383k–623k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
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NudityMature
Monster Prom 3: Monster Roadtrip
2022
Est. copies
≈ 82k–134k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$271k–$729k after Steam's cut $493k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$11.99
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Visual NovelLGBTQ+
Tales from the Borderlands
2021
Est. copies
≈ 486k–790k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyAdventure
Super Seducer : How to Talk to Girls
2018
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$196k–$527k after Steam's cut $357k–$811k before Steam's cut
$12.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentSimulation
The Henry Stickmin Collection
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
7.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
60k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FunnyMultiple Endings
Monster Prom 2: Monster Camp
2020
Est. copies
≈ 152k–248k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$502k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $913k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$11.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dating SimLGBTQ+
Minecraft: Story Mode - A Telltale Games Series
2015
Est. copies
≈ 404k–657k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Mostly Positive
MemesAdventure
Hooked on You: A Dead by Daylight Dating Sim™
2022
Est. copies
≈ 169k–275k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$465k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $845k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive

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