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How big is Kill It With Fire: HEATWAVE?

Estimated owners
≈ 57k–93k
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Kill It With Fire: HEATWAVE out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kill It With Fire: HEATWAVE's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11.9M–22.9M
best case 85.4M (Garry's Mod)
The Sandbox genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 11.9M–22.9M copies
≈ $91.5M–$205.1M after Steam's cut
from ~303k reviews
Best case
≈ 65.1M–105.7M copies
Garry's Mod · ≈ $178.7M–$480.5M after Steam's cut
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Sandbox (5 of 8) and Physics (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with First-Person, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry First-Person + Mature + Utilities; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2006 to 2019, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.5M–49.6M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$41.9M–$112.5M after Steam's cut $76.1M–$173.1M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 65.1M–105.7M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$178.7M–$480.5M after Steam's cut $324.9M–$739.2M before the cut
$9.99
1.3M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
Don't Starve Together
2016
Est. copies
≈ 21.6M–35.1M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$88.9M–$239.1M after Steam's cut $161.7M–$367.9M before the cut
$14.99
539k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.0M–14.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$49.6M–$133.4M after Steam's cut $90.2M–$205.2M before the cut
$19.99
226k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.1M–14.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.1M after Steam's cut $45.4M–$103.2M before the cut
$9.99
315k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 18.8M–30.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$129.2M–$347.5M after Steam's cut $235.0M–$534.6M before the cut
$24.99
405k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
VRChat
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9.1M–14.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
266k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRFree to Play
Cities: Skylines
2015
Est. copies
≈ 13.5M–21.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$111.2M–$298.9M after Steam's cut $202.2M–$459.9M before the cut
$29.99
291k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.