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How many copies did LuPR: Lunar Post Recruit sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$375–$1k after Steam's cut $681–$2k before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LuPR: Lunar Post Recruit and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LuPR: Lunar Post Recruit's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 349k–1.1M
best case 1.0M (DUSK)
Games like LuPR: Lunar Post Recruit

A typical game among these

≈ 349k–1.1M copies

≈ $2.5M–$5.1M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: DUSK at ≈ 778k–1.3M copies, ≈ $4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Shooter (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Boomer Shooter + FPS, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Quake Live
2014
Est. copies
≈ 890k–1.4M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
FPSArena Shooter
Quake III Arena
2007
Est. copies
≈ 260k–422k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSArena Shooter
Quake
2007
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSClassic
DUSK
2018
Est. copies
≈ 778k–1.3M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS
Quake II
2007
Est. copies
≈ 659k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSClassic
Unreal Tournament: Game of the Year Edition
2008
Est. copies
≈ 282k–458k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ClassicFPS
Unreal Tournament 2004: Editor's Choice Edition
2008
Est. copies
≈ 268k–435k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSArena Shooter
AMID EVIL
2019
Est. copies
≈ 224k–363k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Old SchoolBoomer Shooter

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.