How much revenue did Card Shark make?

$443k–$1.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Card Shark sell?

Q: How many copies did Card Shark sell?

81k to 131k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 81k–131k; $443k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $805k–$1.8M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Card Shark and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Card Shark's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–2.0M

best case 7.4M (Kingdom Come: Deliverance)

Games like Card Shark

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–2.0M copies

≈ $7.7M–$12.8M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Story Rich (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Kingdom Come: Deliverance at ≈ 5.7M–9.2M copies, ≈ $46.7M–$125.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 17k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (4 of 8) and Base-Building (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Medieval + Open World, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Medieval + RPG + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Kingdom Come: Deliverance 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.7M–9.2M 6.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.7M–$125.6M after Steam's cut $84.9M–$193.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	186k reviews Very Positive	MedievalRPG
Return of the Obra Dinn 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	35k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveMystery
Workers & Resources: Soviet Republic 2024	Est. copies ≈ 682k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.5M–$20.2M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$31.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	27k reviews Very Positive	StrategySimulation
UNO 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	54k reviews Mostly Positive	Card GameMultiplayer
Murders on the Yangtze River 2024	Est. copies ≈ 528k–858k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveAdventure
Valiant Hearts: The Great War™ / Soldats Inconnus : Mémoires de la Grande Guerre™ 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	28k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AtmosphericHistorical
Against the Storm 2023	Est. copies ≈ 934k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Five Nights at Freddy's 2 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.3M before Steam's cut	$7.99	26k reviews Very Positive	HorrorSingleplayer