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How big is Bamerang: Warm-Up Duel?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 1k–2k
from 57 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bamerang: Warm-Up Duel and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bamerang: Warm-Up Duel's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 147–594
best case 2k (Astro Duel 2)
Games like Bamerang: Warm-Up Duel

A typical game among these

≈ 147–594 copies

≈ $425–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~9 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Astro Duel 2 at ≈ 2k–3k copies, ≈ $9k–$25k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 36.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Fighter (7 of 8) and 4 Player Local (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Top-Down Shooter, priced around $20.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Astro Duel 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
7.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut
$19.99
68 reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerTop-Down Shooter
Cymatically Muffed
2020
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$14.99
22 reviews
Positive
Top-Down Shooter4 Player Local
Plummet
2020
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$204–$551 after Steam's cut $371–$847 before Steam's cut
$5.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
ActionLocal Multiplayer
Neon Blast
2019
Est. copies
≈ 58–94
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$80–$213 after Steam's cut $145–$328 before Steam's cut
$4.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
Arena ShooterTop-Down Shooter
Twin Stick Heroes
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$305–$826 after Steam's cut $555–$1k before Steam's cut
$14.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
Twin Stick Shooter4 Player Local
Green Steel
2021
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12 reviews
Positive
4 Player LocalAction
BreakBall
2024
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$327–$880 after Steam's cut $595–$1k before Steam's cut
$7.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Arena Shooter4 Player Local
Dash Realm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
17 reviews
Positive
Casual2D Fighter

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