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How many copies did Plummet sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
$204–$551 after Steam's cut $371–$847 before Steam's cut
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Plummet and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Plummet's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 342–1k
best case 32k (Nubs! Arena)
Games like Plummet

A typical game among these

≈ 342–1k copies

≈ $528–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~14 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Nubs! Arena at ≈ 25k–40k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 600.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 4 Player Local (7 of 8) and 2D Fighter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 4 Player Local + Short. The breakout hits carry Short + Rogue-lite + Combat; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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