How much revenue did Nubs! Arena make?

Nubs! Arena is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Nubs! Arena sell?

Q: How many copies did Nubs! Arena sell?

25k to 40k copies, based on its 996 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 25k–40k; from 996 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nubs! Arena and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nubs! Arena's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.7M–5.1M

best case 37.2M (Rocket League®)

Games like Nubs! Arena

A typical game among these

≈ 2.7M–5.1M copies

≈ $15.1M–$30.3M after Steam's cut

from ~82k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is 4 Player Local (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Rocket League® at ≈ 28.3M–46.0M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 4 Player Local (4 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Football (Soccer) + Competitive. The breakout hits carry Football (Soccer) + Competitive + Sports; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Stick Fight: The Game 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–7.0M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	125k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerFunny
Rocket League® 2015	Est. copies ≈ 28.3M–46.0M 7.1x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	580k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
Brawlhalla 2017	Est. copies ≈ 14.2M–23.1M 5.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	413k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer
Castle Crashers® 2012	Est. copies ≈ 8.9M–14.5M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $36.7M–$98.7M after Steam's cut $66.8M–$151.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	141k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	2DOnline Co-Op
Party Animals 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	79k reviews Mostly Positive	MultiplayerFunny
Pummel Party 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	58k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerFunny
Gang Beasts 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	68k reviews Very Positive	FunnyPhysics
Overcooked! 2 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $17.7M–$47.5M after Steam's cut $32.1M–$73.1M before Steam's cut	$24.99	85k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerOnline Co-Op