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How many copies did Egression sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$19k–$50k after Steam's cut $34k–$77k before Steam's cut
from 136 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Egression and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Egression's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14k–65k
best case 131k (The Room VR: A Dark Matter)
Games like Egression

A typical game among these

≈ 14k–65k copies

≈ $80k–$646k after Steam's cut

from ~975 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Room VR: A Dark Matter at ≈ 100k–162k copies, ≈ $686k–$1.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 319 reviews in their first month; the range was 16 to 815.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and VR (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + VR, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 32k–53k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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PuzzleVR
The Room VR: A Dark Matter
2020
Est. copies
≈ 100k–162k
4.1x vs typical
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AdventurePuzzle
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2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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PuzzleMultiplayer
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Est. copies
≈ 41k–66k
1.7x vs typical
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$393k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $714k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
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PuzzleAdventure
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≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy under 20k
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I Expect You To Die 3: Cog in the Machine
2023
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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AdventureAction
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SteamSpy 50k–100k
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