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How many copies did Schastye sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–20k
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
from 490 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Schastye and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Schastye's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8k–9k
best case 1.1M (Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk)
Games like Schastye

A typical game among these

≈ 8k–9k copies

≈ $3k–$11k after Steam's cut

from ~232 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk at ≈ 853k–1.4M copies, ≈ $349k–$939k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 50 reviews in their first month; the range was 31 to 621.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Interactive Fiction (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Interactive Fiction, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry Interactive Fiction + LGBTQ+; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

My Dream is a Lost Memory
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$0.99
245 reviews
Very Positive
CasualInteractive Fiction
Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk
2020
Est. copies
≈ 853k–1.4M
148x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$349k–$939k after Steam's cut $635k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$1.49
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Guilt Free
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
296 reviews
Very Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
You know my name?
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$0.99
230 reviews
Mixed
ExperimentalVisual Novel
Sunflower Pie
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
144 reviews
Very Positive
Coffee Talk
2020
Est. copies
≈ 314k–510k
55x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
$12.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
ConversationPixel Graphics
Survivor Dieland
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$1.99
234 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationMultiple Endings
Far from Noise
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before Steam's cut
$7.99
202 reviews
Very Positive
ConversationNarrative

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.