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How big is Sunflower Pie?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 4k–6k
from 144 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sunflower Pie and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sunflower Pie's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 77k–140k
best case 10.3M (Doki Doki Literature Club!)
Games like Sunflower Pie

A typical game among these

≈ 77k–140k copies

≈ $269k–$444k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Doki Doki Literature Club! at ≈ 7.9M–12.8M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 135 reviews in their first month; the range was 94 to 28k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Psychological Horror (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Visual Novel, priced around $6.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Butterfly Collector
2025
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
$0.99
962 reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelWord Game
Doki Doki Literature Club!
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
114x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
229k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk
2020
Est. copies
≈ 853k–1.4M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$349k–$939k after Steam's cut $635k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$1.49
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Higurashi When They Cry Hou - Ch.2 Watanagashi
2015
Est. copies
≈ 97k–158k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$214k–$575k after Steam's cut $389k–$885k before Steam's cut
$7.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Return to Shironagasu Island
2020
Est. copies
≈ 106k–173k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$146k–$392k after Steam's cut $265k–$603k before Steam's cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureVisual Novel
Umineko When They Cry - Question Arcs
2016
Est. copies
≈ 120k–195k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$825k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackVisual Novel
Corpse Party
2016
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$241k–$647k after Steam's cut $437k–$995k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAnime
Tiny Bunny
2025
Est. copies
≈ 761k–1.2M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before Steam's cut
$10.99
31k reviews
Very Positive

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