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How many copies did Higurashi When They Cry Hou - Ch.2 Watanagashi sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 97k–158k
$214k–$575k after Steam's cut $389k–$885k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Higurashi When They Cry Hou - Ch.2 Watanagashi and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Higurashi When They Cry Hou - Ch.2 Watanagashi's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–1.9M
best case 10.3M (Doki Doki Literature Club!)
Games like Higurashi When They Cry Hou - Ch.2 Watanagashi

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–1.9M copies

≈ $6.0M–$16.4M after Steam's cut

from ~33k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Doki Doki Literature Club! at ≈ 7.9M–12.8M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 163 to 28k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Anime (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Visual Novel. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Dark + Dating Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

STEINS;GATE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$9.3M–$25.1M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Senren*Banka
2020
Est. copies
≈ 923k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.7M before Steam's cut
$34.99
37k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Doki Doki Literature Club!
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
6.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
229k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.3M after Steam's cut $13.7M–$31.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeDetective
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
Tiny Bunny
2025
Est. copies
≈ 761k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before Steam's cut
$10.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk
2020
Est. copies
≈ 853k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$349k–$939k after Steam's cut $635k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$1.49
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NEKOPARA Vol. 1
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HentaiAnime

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