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How many copies did Hoplegs sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $18k–$41k before Steam's cut
from 80 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hoplegs and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hoplegs's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 92k–962k
best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)
Games like Hoplegs

A typical game among these

≈ 92k–962k copies

≈ $183k–$9.9M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Precision Platformer (8 of 8) and Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 36.2M–58.9M
213x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
647k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic
Super Meat Boy
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
I wanna be the Creator
2019
Est. copies
≈ 87k–141k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$143k–$384k after Steam's cut $260k–$591k before Steam's cut
$5.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ActionLevel Editor
I Wanna Maker
2023
Est. copies
≈ 127k–206k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Precision PlatformerLevel Editor
Dustforce DX
2012
Est. copies
≈ 151k–246k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$415k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $755k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell
2016
Est. copies
≈ 127k–207k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$525k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $955k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerParkour
Remnants of Naezith
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$55k–$148k after Steam's cut $100k–$227k before Steam's cut
$9.99
657 reviews
Very Positive
BIT.TRIP RERUNNER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$55k–$148k after Steam's cut $100k–$228k before Steam's cut
$19.99
404 reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.