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How many copies did Spellbreak sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347k–564k
from 14k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Spellbreak and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Spellbreak's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–46k
best case 103k (Royal Crown)
Games like Spellbreak

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–46k copies

≈ $73k–$97k after Steam's cut

from ~508 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Royal Crown at ≈ 79k–128k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 86 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 3k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (7 of 8) and Action RPG (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Battle Royale + MOBA.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Valgrave: Immortal Plains
2020
Est. copies
≈ 23k–38k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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Very Positive
Battle RoyaleFree to Play
WARCANA
2024
Est. copies
≈ 13k–20k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$59k–$158k after Steam's cut $107k–$243k before Steam's cut
$16.99
508 reviews
Mixed
StrategyCard Game
Stream Arenas
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≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
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Early AccessAction
Dungeon Royale
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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Free
Free
103 reviews
Very Positive
ActionRPG
Spellsworn
2018
Est. copies
≈ 46k–75k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
MagicFree to Play
TOUHOU SKY ARENA MATSURI CLIMAX
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$138k before Steam's cut
$19.99
244 reviews
Very Positive
ActionFantasy
Modern Arena
2020
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8 reviews
8 user reviews
RPGAction
Royal Crown
2021
Est. copies
≈ 79k–128k
6.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale

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