How much revenue did TOUHOU SKY ARENA MATSURI CLIMAX make?

$33k–$89k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did TOUHOU SKY ARENA MATSURI CLIMAX sell?

Q: How many copies did TOUHOU SKY ARENA MATSURI CLIMAX sell?

6k to 10k copies, based on its 244 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–10k; $33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$138k before Steam's cut; from 244 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid TOUHOU SKY ARENA MATSURI CLIMAX and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including TOUHOU SKY ARENA MATSURI CLIMAX's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 593k–980k

best case 2.2M (Realm Royale Reforged)

Games like TOUHOU SKY ARENA MATSURI CLIMAX

A typical game among these

≈ 593k–980k copies

≈ $9.4M–$13.1M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Hack and Slash (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Realm Royale Reforged at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 5k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Hack and Slash (3 of 8) and 3D Fighter (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Shooter + Survival + Early Access; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Bayonetta 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	33k reviews Very Positive	ActionFemale Protagonist
Moonlighter 2018	Est. copies ≈ 747k–1.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Hack and SlashPixel Graphics
Realm Royale Reforged 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	56k reviews Mostly Positive	Battle RoyaleFree to Play
Dragon Simulator Multiplayer 2018	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $919–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$0.99	111 reviews Mostly Positive	DragonsAction-Adventure
SCARLET NEXUS 2021	Est. copies ≈ 452k–734k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.1M before Steam's cut	$79.99	18k reviews Very Positive	AnimeAction
Castlevania: Lords of Shadow – Ultimate Edition 2013	Est. copies ≈ 660k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	10k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
Go All Out: Free To Play 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	52 reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayAction
Spellbreak 2020	Est. copies ≈ 347k–564k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	14k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer