How much revenue did Bayonetta make?

$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Bayonetta sell?

Q: How many copies did Bayonetta sell?

1.1M to 1.8M copies, based on its 33k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.1M–1.8M; $6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.6M before Steam's cut; from 33k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bayonetta and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bayonetta's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.1M–5.6M

best case 9.9M (NARAKA: BLADEPOINT)

Games like Bayonetta

A typical game among these

≈ 3.1M–5.6M copies

≈ $29.7M–$77.0M after Steam's cut

from ~94k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action RPG (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: NARAKA: BLADEPOINT at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 33k reviews in their first month; the range was 27k to 86k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action RPG (3 of 8) and Character Customization (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Martial Arts. The breakout hits carry Battle Royale + Martial Arts + Mature; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Mostly Positive	Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin 2015	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $71.3M–$191.8M after Steam's cut $129.7M–$295.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	133k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.7M–$58.5M after Steam's cut $39.5M–$90.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	77k reviews Very Positive	AtmosphericPsychological
Hades II 2025	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.3M–$68.0M after Steam's cut $46.0M–$104.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	124k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionRogue-like
Dragon's Dogma: Dark Arisen 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.9M–$45.4M after Steam's cut $30.7M–$69.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	49k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World
NieR:Automata™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut $105.8M–$240.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	154k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Granblue Fantasy: Relink 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	56k reviews Very Positive	AnimeJRPG
Black Desert 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	94k reviews Mostly Positive	MMORPGMassively Multiplayer