How much revenue did Moonlighter make?

$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Moonlighter sell?

Q: How many copies did Moonlighter sell?

747k to 1.2M copies, based on its 25k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 747k–1.2M; $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.0M before Steam's cut; from 25k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Moonlighter and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Moonlighter's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 295k–341k

best case 1.7M (Crypt of the NecroDancer)

Games like Moonlighter

A typical game among these

≈ 295k–341k copies

≈ $1.6M–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Crypt of the NecroDancer at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Dungeon Crawler (6 of 8) and Action Roguelike (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with 4 Player Local + Action Roguelike, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Rogue-like; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Chronicon 2020	Est. copies ≈ 241k–392k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $928k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut	$13.99	10k reviews Very Positive	LootAction RPG
Lost Castle / 失落城堡 2016	Est. copies ≈ 998k–1.6M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	24k reviews Very Positive	4 Player LocalAction Roguelike
Children of Morta 2019	Est. copies ≈ 674k–1.1M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut	$21.99	23k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerRogue-like
Wizard of Legend 2018	Est. copies ≈ 641k–1.0M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut	$15.99	21k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikePixel Graphics
Crypt of the NecroDancer 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RhythmFemale Protagonist
Dragon Cliff 2018	Est. copies ≈ 249k–405k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $685k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut	$9.99	8k reviews Very Positive	RPGStrategy
Heroes of Hammerwatch 2018	Est. copies ≈ 290k–471k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	10k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
Ember Knights 2023	Est. copies ≈ 175k–284k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $961k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-lite