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How many copies did Rebellion sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
from 66 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rebellion and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rebellion's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 22k–35k
best case 123k (VOIN)
Games like Rebellion

A typical game among these

≈ 22k–35k copies

≈ $131k–$182k after Steam's cut

from ~869 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: VOIN at ≈ 94k–153k copies, ≈ $516k–$1.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 427 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (7 of 8) and Rogue-lite (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Hack and Slash, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Action + Action-Adventure + Early Access; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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4.4x vs typical
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too small to compare
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Action RPGDark

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.