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How many copies did NEKOPARA Vol. 4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 219k–356k
$602k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
from 9k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid NEKOPARA Vol. 4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including NEKOPARA Vol. 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 438k–1.4M
best case 3.3M (Mirror)
Games like NEKOPARA Vol. 4

A typical game among these

≈ 438k–1.4M copies

≈ $1.5M–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror at ≈ 2.6M–4.1M copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 698 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (8 of 8) and Hentai (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sexual Content + Nudity, priced around $2.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NEKOPARA Vol. 0
2015
Est. copies
≈ 869k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$715k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeNudity
Miss Neko 3
2022
Est. copies
≈ 119k–193k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$98k–$263k after Steam's cut $178k–$404k before Steam's cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
NEKOPARA Vol. 1
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HentaiAnime
Living With Sister: Monochrome Fantasy
2024
Est. copies
≈ 389k–632k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$12.99
16k reviews
Mixed
Sexual ContentHentai
Dark Elf
2017
Est. copies
≈ 167k–272k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
NEKOPARA Vol. 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 414k–672k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HentaiSexual Content
Action Taimanin
2020
Est. copies
≈ 482k–783k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
19k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity

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