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How big is Penimorta?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 7k–11k
from 268 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Penimorta and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Penimorta's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 60k–89k
best case 206k (Nordic Ashes: Survivors of Ragnarok)
Games like Penimorta

A typical game among these

≈ 60k–89k copies

≈ $152k–$250k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Nordic Ashes: Survivors of Ragnarok at ≈ 157k–256k copies, ≈ $432k–$1.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 601 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Bullet Hell (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Early Access + Top-Down + Casual; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Bullet HellAction Roguelike
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2.8x vs typical
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Top-Down ShooterArena Shooter

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.