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How many copies did Cafe Deux Femmes sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 546–887
$749–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 22 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cafe Deux Femmes and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cafe Deux Femmes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 306k–476k
best case 2.1M (VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action)
Games like Cafe Deux Femmes

A typical game among these

≈ 306k–476k copies

≈ $1.3M–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 800 reviews in their first month; the range was 621 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Visual Novel (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cyberpunk + Visual Novel, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Cyberpunk + Dystopian + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel
Amorous
2018
Est. copies
≈ 316k–514k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Marco & The Galaxy Dragon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 196k–319k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Florence
2020
Est. copies
≈ 409k–665k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$674k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$5.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
IndieCasual
missed messages.
2019
Est. copies
≈ 448k–728k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayVisual Novel
BAD END THEATER
2021
Est. copies
≈ 250k–406k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$687k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Multiple EndingsVisual Novel
Coffee Talk
2020
Est. copies
≈ 314k–510k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
$12.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
ConversationPixel Graphics
WITCH ON THE HOLY NIGHT
2023
Est. copies
≈ 216k–351k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime

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