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How big is Witches x Warlocks?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 16k–27k
from 658 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Witches x Warlocks and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Witches x Warlocks's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 52k–78k
best case 487k (A Date with Death)
Games like Witches x Warlocks

A typical game among these

≈ 52k–78k copies

≈ $433k–$522k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: A Date with Death at ≈ 371k–603k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 930 reviews in their first month; the range was 329 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and LGBTQ+ (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Romance, priced around $14. The breakout hits carry Romance + Choices Matter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DRAMAtical Murder
2021
Est. copies
≈ 124k–202k
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$682k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LGBTQ+Sexual Content
Hustle Cat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$300k–$807k after Steam's cut $546k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelIndie
Our Life: Beginnings & Always
2020
Est. copies
≈ 342k–556k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelRomance
Magical Diary: Horse Hall
2012
Est. copies
≈ 64k–105k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$266k–$714k after Steam's cut $483k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDating Sim
My Vow to My Liege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 102k–165k
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$280k–$752k after Steam's cut $509k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Female ProtagonistRomance
A Date with Death
2023
Est. copies
≈ 371k–603k
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dating SimVisual Novel
Love Curse: Find Your Soulmate
2025
Est. copies
≈ 86k–140k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$331k–$891k after Steam's cut $602k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$14.00
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LGBTQ+Female Protagonist
Revue Starlight El Dorado
2024
Est. copies
≈ 25k–40k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$204k–$549k after Steam's cut $372k–$845k before Steam's cut
$29.99
999 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAdventure

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.