Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did PolygonDuty sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$410–$1k after Steam's cut $745–$2k before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid PolygonDuty and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including PolygonDuty's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 138–635
best case 10.5M (Sons Of The Forest)
Games like PolygonDuty

A typical game among these

≈ 138–635 copies

≈ $53–$1k after Steam's cut

from ~7 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sons Of The Forest at ≈ 8.0M–12.9M copies, ≈ $65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 178k reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival Horror (5 of 8) and Action-Adventure (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Survival Horror, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Survival + Horror + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sons Of The Forest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–12.9M
45884x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut $119.4M–$271.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
321k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
多边星球 Multilateral Planet
2023
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$122–$329 after Steam's cut $222–$506 before Steam's cut
$1.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
Action-AdventureSurvival Horror
SAVAGE
2020
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$34–$91 after Steam's cut $61–$140 before Steam's cut
$0.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
AdventureAction
Resident Evil 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
40038x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut $139.0M–$316.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorAction
Bail or Jail(OBAKEIDORO!)
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
34x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$32k–$87k after Steam's cut $59k–$133k before Steam's cut
$19.99
236 reviews
Very Positive
CasualMultiplayer
Taoist priest Yan
2021
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$782–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
23 reviews
Positive
HorrorSupernatural
追杀
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before Steam's cut
$2.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
Casual Commando
2021
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$27–$73 after Steam's cut $49–$112 before Steam's cut
$0.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
ActionAdventure

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.