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How big is Warchief?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 2k–3k
from 72 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warchief and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warchief's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 92k–520k
best case 1.1M (Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III)
Games like Warchief

A typical game among these

≈ 92k–520k copies

≈ $1.4M–$9.5M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III at ≈ 823k–1.3M copies, ≈ $9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share RTS (8 of 8) and MOBA (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Warhammer 40K + RTS, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Command & Conquer 3 Tiberium Wars™
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Family FriendlyLevel Editor
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III
2017
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≈ 823k–1.3M
4.0x vs typical
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