How much revenue did Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III make?

$9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III sell?

Q: How many copies did Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III sell?

823k to 1.3M copies, based on its 24k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 823k–1.3M; $9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.4M before Steam's cut; from 24k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 791k–1.2M

best case 4.9M (Total War: WARHAMMER III)

Games like Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III

A typical game among these

≈ 791k–1.2M copies

≈ $9.9M–$18.2M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Total War: WARHAMMER III at ≈ 3.7M–6.0M copies, ≈ $61.3M–$164.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share RTS (8 of 8) and Games Workshop (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Fantasy + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Fantasy + Turn-Based Strategy + Grand Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Total War: WARHAMMER II 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.8M 9.3x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	121k reviews Very Positive	StrategyFantasy
Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Soulstorm 2008	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	19k reviews Very Positive	Warhammer 40KStrategy
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War - Anniversary Edition (Classic) 2007	Est. copies ≈ 756k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	12k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Total War: WARHAMMER III 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.0M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $61.3M–$164.8M after Steam's cut $111.4M–$253.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	150k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Dark Crusade 2007	Est. copies ≈ 603k–980k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyWarhammer 40K
Total War: WARHAMMER 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.3M–$148.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	52k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyFantasy
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II: Retribution unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 326k–529k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	13k reviews Very Positive	Warhammer 40KStrategy
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II - Anniversary Edition (Classic) 2009	Est. copies ≈ 884k–1.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.7M after Steam's cut $22.1M–$50.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Warhammer 40KStrategy