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How many copies did Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Dark Crusade sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 603k–980k
from 10k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Dark Crusade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Dark Crusade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–3.4M
best case 4.9M (Total War: WARHAMMER III)
Games like Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Dark Crusade

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–3.4M copies

≈ $18.1M–$101.3M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Total War: WARHAMMER III at ≈ 3.7M–6.0M copies, ≈ $61.3M–$164.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share RTS (8 of 8) and Games Workshop (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Grand Strategy, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II - Anniversary Edition (Classic)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 884k–1.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.7M after Steam's cut $22.1M–$50.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KStrategy
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War - Anniversary Edition (Classic)
2007
Est. copies
≈ 756k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Total War: WARHAMMER II
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
121k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyFantasy
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III
2017
Est. copies
≈ 823k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
24k reviews
Mixed
Warhammer 40KStrategy
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II: Retribution
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 326k–529k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KStrategy
Total War: WARHAMMER III
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
7.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$61.3M–$164.8M after Steam's cut $111.4M–$253.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
150k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Soulstorm
2008
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
19k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KStrategy
Total War: WARHAMMER
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.3M–$148.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
52k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyFantasy

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