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How many copies did PAGO FOREST: TOWER DEFENSE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
from 97 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid PAGO FOREST: TOWER DEFENSE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including PAGO FOREST: TOWER DEFENSE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 62k–116k
best case 347k (Age of Darkness: Final Stand)
Games like PAGO FOREST: TOWER DEFENSE

A typical game among these

≈ 62k–116k copies

≈ $363k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Age of Darkness: Final Stand at ≈ 264k–430k copies, ≈ $2.0M–$5.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 869 to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share RTS (8 of 8) and Tower Defense (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Action RTS, priced around $28. The breakout hits carry Action RTS + PvE + 3D; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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