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How many copies did Tantal sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 471–766
$128–$345 after Steam's cut $233–$531 before Steam's cut
from 19 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tantal and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tantal's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–28k
best case 76k (Intergalactic Bubbles)
Games like Tantal

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–28k copies

≈ $4k–$26k after Steam's cut

from ~88 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Intergalactic Bubbles at ≈ 58k–95k copies, ≈ $32k–$86k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 38.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (8 of 8) and Puzzle (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Arcade, priced around $2.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Intergalactic Bubbles
2015
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$132k before Steam's cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualIndie
Murtop
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$4.99
90 reviews
Very Positive
ActionArcade
Deep Under the Sky
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut
$9.99
59 reviews
Mixed
ArcadePhysics
Marble Mayhem: Fragile Ball
2015
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$124k before Steam's cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Mixed
CasualIndie
Snake Classic
2018
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$5k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$1.99
325 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualIndie
Neon Rider Classic
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$917–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$2.99
45 reviews
Mostly Positive
CyberpunkRacing
Frick, Inc.
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$3.99
86 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualSimulation
Gangsta Magic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$4.99
42 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureAction

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