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How many copies did Botany Manor sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 39k–64k
$270k–$727k after Steam's cut $491k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Botany Manor and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Botany Manor's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 24k–239k
best case 380k (The Exit 8)
Games like Botany Manor

A typical game among these

≈ 24k–239k copies

≈ $74k–$874k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Exit 8 at ≈ 289k–470k copies, ≈ $317k–$853k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 127 reviews in their first month; the range was 20 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and Puzzle (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Walking Simulator, priced around $4.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

INFRA
2016
Est. copies
≈ 156k–254k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleExploration
The Inheritance of Crimson Manor
2022
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$131k–$351k after Steam's cut $237k–$540k before Steam's cut
$19.99
958 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationPuzzle
Isle of Pan
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$19.99
44 reviews
Positive
ExplorationPhoto Editing
Firmament
2023
Est. copies
≈ 41k–66k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$393k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $714k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
PuzzleAdventure
The Exit 8
2023
Est. copies
≈ 289k–470k
9.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$317k–$853k after Steam's cut $577k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$3.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Abnormal1999:Sector 49
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$2.99
133 reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Dear Esther: Landmark Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 261k–424k
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$717k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Mostly Positive
Walking SimulatorExploration
Left Alone
2016
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$51k–$138k after Steam's cut $94k–$213k before Steam's cut
$6.99
644 reviews
Mostly Positive
ExplorationPuzzle

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