How much revenue did Isle of Pan make?

$6k–$16k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Isle of Pan sell?

Q: How many copies did Isle of Pan sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 44 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut; from 44 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Isle of Pan and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Isle of Pan's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–3.9M

best case 5.6M (The Long Dark)

Games like Isle of Pan

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–3.9M copies

≈ $19k–$40.1M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Long Dark at ≈ 4.3M–6.9M copies, ≈ $23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 33 reviews in their first month; the range was 20 to 623.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and Photo Editing (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
SOMA 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M 40x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Horror Psychological Horror
The Long Dark 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–6.9M 94x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$97.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	124k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Mexico, 1921. A Deep Slumber. 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$33k before Steam's cut	$19.99	59 reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureExploration
Firewatch 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.8M 76x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.9M–$61.5M after Steam's cut $41.6M–$94.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	100k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAtmospheric
Flutter Away 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut	$12.99	122 reviews Very Positive	ExplorationHidden Object
Shutter Stroll 2024	Est. copies ≈ 645–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$5.99	26 reviews Positive	ExplorationProcedural Generation
Pupperazzi: The Dog Photography Game 2022	Est. copies ≈ 14k–22k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $76k–$203k after Steam's cut $137k–$312k before Steam's cut	$19.99	554 reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationPhoto Editing
SEASON: A letter to the future 2023	Est. copies ≈ 52k–84k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $357k–$960k after Steam's cut $649k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldMystery