How much revenue did SEASON: A letter to the future make?

$357k–$960k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did SEASON: A letter to the future sell?

Q: How many copies did SEASON: A letter to the future sell?

52k to 84k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 52k–84k; $357k–$960k after Steam's cut $649k–$1.5M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SEASON: A letter to the future and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SEASON: A letter to the future's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–27k

best case 193k (The Test: Hypothesis Rising)

Games like SEASON: A letter to the future

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–27k copies

≈ $40k–$150k after Steam's cut

from ~444 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Test: Hypothesis Rising at ≈ 147k–239k copies, ≈ $80k–$216k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 88 reviews in their first month; the range was 22 to 448.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (6 of 8) and Horror (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Multiple Endings, priced around $2.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Test: Hypothesis Rising 2020	Est. copies ≈ 147k–239k 13x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$332k before Steam's cut	$1.99	6k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationMultiple Endings
NOSTALGIC TRAIN 2018	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$81k before Steam's cut	$11.99	195 reviews Mostly Positive	IndieWalking Simulator
The Imagined Leviathan: Prologue 2020	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	162 reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureStory Rich
The Testing Chamber 2022	Est. copies ≈ 17k–28k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $24k–$64k after Steam's cut $43k–$99k before Steam's cut	$4.99	702 reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationChoices Matter
Dry Drowning 2019	Est. copies ≈ 15k–24k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $82k–$220k after Steam's cut $149k–$339k before Steam's cut	$19.99	518 reviews Very Positive	FuturisticAdventure
times infinity 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $910–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$1.99	67 reviews Very Positive	AdventureOpen World
Cooking Companions 2021	Est. copies ≈ 30k–49k 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $124k–$333k after Steam's cut $225k–$513k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Timeloop: Sink Again Beach 2022	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $30k–$81k after Steam's cut $55k–$125k before Steam's cut	$11.99	369 reviews Very Positive	AdventurePirates