How much revenue did Dry Drowning make?

$82k–$220k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dry Drowning sell?

Q: How many copies did Dry Drowning sell?

15k to 24k copies, based on its 518 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 15k–24k; $82k–$220k after Steam's cut $149k–$339k before Steam's cut; from 518 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dry Drowning and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dry Drowning's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 131k–332k

best case 1.6M (Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader)

Games like Dry Drowning

A typical game among these

≈ 131k–332k copies

≈ $810k–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Sci-fi (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 91 to 10k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sci-fi (4 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Character Customization + Cinematic, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Character Customization + Turn-Based Strategy + Dark Fantasy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Fort Solis 2023	Est. copies ≈ 105k–171k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $723k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	4k reviews Mixed	Walking SimulatorCinematic
The Invincible 2023	Est. copies ≈ 341k–554k 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	14k reviews Very Positive	AdventureRobots
Tacoma 2017	Est. copies ≈ 166k–269k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $911k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Walking Simulator Story Rich
PARQUET 2021	Est. copies ≈ 60k–97k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $280k–$752k after Steam's cut $509k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$16.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Steam Link 2015	Est. copies ≈ 360k–584k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Mostly Positive	Steam MachineSoftware
Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M 10x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	48k reviews Very Positive	Character CustomizationCinematic
Machinika: Museum 2021	Est. copies ≈ 157k–255k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $344k–$926k after Steam's cut $626k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$7.99	6k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleMystery
AI: THE SOMNIUM FILES - nirvanA Initiative 2022	Est. copies ≈ 94k–153k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelMystery