How much revenue did Firewatch make?

$21.7M–$58.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Firewatch sell?

Q: How many copies did Firewatch sell?

3.9M to 6.4M copies, based on its 99k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3.9M–6.4M; $21.7M–$58.3M after Steam's cut $39.4M–$89.7M before the cut; from 99k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Firewatch out and predicted the genre from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Firewatch's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 31.7M–34.0M

best case 33.3M (Cyberpunk 2077)

The Open World genre

All 5 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game

≈ 31.7M–34.0M copies

≈ $209.1M–$787.8M after Steam's cut

from ~878k reviews

Best case

≈ 25.4M–41.2M copies

Cyberpunk 2077 · ≈ $418.4M–$1125.0M after Steam's cut

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Open World (4 of 5) and Story Rich (4 of 5).
The winners: Winners here lead with Cyberpunk + Open World, priced around $60.
The era: The games you compared span 2011 to 2020, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.6M–33.5M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $113.4M–$304.8M after Steam's cut $206.1M–$468.9M before the cut	$19.99	678k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Portal 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 24.1M–39.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $66.3M–$178.1M after Steam's cut $120.5M–$274.1M before the cut	$9.99	464k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Platformer Puzzle
Cyberpunk 2077 2020	Est. copies ≈ 25.4M–41.2M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $418.4M–$1125.0M after Steam's cut $760.8M–$1730.7M before the cut	$59.99	961k reviews Very Positive	CyberpunkOpen World
Red Dead Redemption 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 25.9M–42.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $427.1M–$1148.4M after Steam's cut $776.6M–$1766.8M before the cut	$59.99	899k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldStory Rich
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt 2015	Est. copies ≈ 40.7M–66.2M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $448.1M–$1204.8M after Steam's cut $814.7M–$1853.5M before the cut	$39.99	878k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldRPG