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How big is Blaston?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 14k–23k
from 577 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Blaston and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blaston's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.1M–4.7M
best case 65.2M (War Thunder)
Games like Blaston

A typical game among these

≈ 3.1M–4.7M copies

≈ $43.2M–$53.3M after Steam's cut

from ~82k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Building (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Vehicular Combat + World War II; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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War Thunder
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9.6x vs typical
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Planet Coaster
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SimulationBuilding
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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$19.99
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TabletopBoard Game
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The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
8.4x vs typical
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2015
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≈ 5.3M–8.5M
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.