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How big is 新魔剑(New Magic Sword)?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 2k–3k
from 69 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 新魔剑(New Magic Sword) and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 新魔剑(New Magic Sword)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 77k–948k
best case 1.7M (FINAL FANTASY VII REMAKE INTERGRADE)
Games like 新魔剑(New Magic Sword)

A typical game among these

≈ 77k–948k copies

≈ $2.4M–$19.1M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: FINAL FANTASY VII REMAKE INTERGRADE at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $14.5M–$39.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 93 to 22k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (8 of 8) and Action-Adventure (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + JRPG, priced around $40.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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