How much revenue did Sun Haven make?

$4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Sun Haven sell?

Q: How many copies did Sun Haven sell?

636k to 1.0M copies, based on its 26k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 636k–1.0M; $4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.1M before Steam's cut; from 26k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sun Haven and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Sun Haven's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 717k–15.0M

best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)

Games like Sun Haven

A typical game among these

≈ 717k–15.0M copies

≈ $5.9M–$90.6M after Steam's cut

from ~29k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 24k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Farming Sim (4 of 4) and Life Sim (4 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 1 of the 4 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Stardew Valley 2016	Est. copies ≈ 43.5M–70.7M 37x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Farming SimPixel Graphics
Dinkum 2025	Est. copies ≈ 725k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftAgriculture
Roots of Pacha 2023	Est. copies ≈ 114k–185k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $780k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	5k reviews Very Positive	IndieFarming Sim
Coral Island 2023	Est. copies ≈ 690k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.7M–$15.3M after Steam's cut $10.4M–$23.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	28k reviews Very Positive	Farming SimLife Sim