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How many copies did Feign sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 157k–256k
$216k–$581k after Steam's cut $393k–$893k before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Feign and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Feign's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11.2M–30.4M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Feign

A typical game among these

≈ 11.2M–30.4M copies

≈ $79.7M–$143.0M after Steam's cut

from ~417k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Sandbox (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sandbox (3 of 8) and Survival (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
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6.7x vs typical
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SurvivalShooter
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BeamNG.drive
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.