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How many copies did Maniac Path sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347–564
$285–$767 after Steam's cut $519–$1k before Steam's cut
from 14 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Maniac Path and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Maniac Path's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 92k–653k
best case 1.0M (ASTLIBRA Revision)
Games like Maniac Path

A typical game among these

≈ 92k–653k copies

≈ $519k–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ASTLIBRA Revision at ≈ 792k–1.3M copies, ≈ $5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 534 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Side Scroller (6 of 8) and Looter Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Side Scroller, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Crazy Flasher Series 2021
2021
Est. copies
≈ 70k–114k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$19k–$51k after Steam's cut $35k–$79k before Steam's cut
$0.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ActionRPG
Momodora: Reverie Under The Moonlight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 498k–809k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Metroidvania2D Platformer
The Last Fighter
2022
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$347–$932 after Steam's cut $631–$1k before Steam's cut
$2.99
17 reviews
Positive
Side ScrollerHero Shooter
DR LIVESEY ROM AND DEATH EDITION
2023
Est. copies
≈ 342k–556k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$282k–$757k after Steam's cut $512k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$2.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
ActionCartoon
MEGA MAN X DiVE Offline
2023
Est. copies
≈ 49k–80k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$407k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $740k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Action2D
ASTLIBRA Revision
2022
Est. copies
≈ 792k–1.3M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RPG2D
Zombies Desert and Guns
2021
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut
$9.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
ZombiesAction
Yoshimitsu Hatsumi
2021
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$749–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
22 reviews
Mixed
Looter ShooterSide Scroller

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.