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How many copies did MONSTER HUNTER RISE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3.2M–5.1M
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
from 127k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MONSTER HUNTER RISE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MONSTER HUNTER RISE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 44k–223k
best case 10.8M (Monster Hunter Wilds)
Games like MONSTER HUNTER RISE

A typical game among these

≈ 44k–223k copies

≈ $854k–$1.6M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Monster Hunter Wilds at ≈ 8.2M–13.4M copies, ≈ $90.5M–$243.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 175 to 183k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (5 of 8) and Hunting (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hunting + Co-op, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Dating Sim + Dragons + Online Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
6 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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≈ 287k–467k
6.8x vs typical
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Fera: The Sundered Tribes
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Monster Hunter Wilds
2025
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.4M
226x vs typical
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2026
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≈ 322k–523k
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