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How many copies did Toukiden 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 51k–82k
$835k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Toukiden 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Toukiden 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.3M–3.9M
best case 9.2M (theHunter: Call of the Wild™)
Games like Toukiden 2

A typical game among these

≈ 2.3M–3.9M copies

≈ $27.4M–$55.5M after Steam's cut

from ~60k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: theHunter: Call of the Wild™ at ≈ 7.0M–11.4M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 48k reviews in their first month; the range was 20k to 82k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (7 of 8) and Action RPG (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hunting + Open World.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

theHunter Classic
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
45k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayHunting
Dragon's Dogma 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$32.1M–$86.3M after Steam's cut $58.3M–$132.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
118k reviews
Mixed
Open WorldRPG
Dragon's Dogma: Dark Arisen
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.9M–$45.4M after Steam's cut $30.7M–$69.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Gujian3(古剑奇谭三)
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
Far Cry® Primal
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.2M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
theHunter: Call of the Wild™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
203k reviews
Very Positive
HuntingOpen World
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion Remastered
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.0M–$64.5M after Steam's cut $43.6M–$99.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
70k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGOpen World
MONSTER HUNTER RISE
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.1M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
127k reviews
Very Positive
ActionHunting

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