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How many copies did The Quinfall sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 322k–523k
$885k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
from 13k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Quinfall and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Quinfall's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.3M–6.6M
best case 9.7M (New World: Aeternum)
Games like The Quinfall

A typical game among these

≈ 2.3M–6.6M copies

≈ $25.5M–$50.6M after Steam's cut

from ~81k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: New World: Aeternum at ≈ 7.4M–12.0M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 28k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 145k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share MMORPG (7 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + MMORPG.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

New World: Aeternum
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
297k reviews
Mixed
Open WorldMassively Multiplayer
NARUTO TO BORUTO: SHINOBI STRIKER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.5M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeMultiplayer
FINAL FANTASY XIV Online
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.4M–$71.0M after Steam's cut $48.0M–$109.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
86k reviews
Very Positive
MMORPGRPG
The Elder Scrolls® Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.0M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.2M after Steam's cut $55.6M–$126.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
162k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMMORPG
STAR WARS™: The Old Republic™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
76k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
RuneScape ®
2020
Est. copies
≈ 677k–1.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
27k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMMORPG
Black Desert
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
94k reviews
Mostly Positive
MMORPGMassively Multiplayer
Neverwinter
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMMORPG

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