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How big is Roce's Journey?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 521–846
from 21 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Roce's Journey and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Roce's Journey's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 43k–95k
best case 935k (Baba Is You)
Games like Roce's Journey

A typical game among these

≈ 43k–95k copies

≈ $103k–$815k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Baba Is You at ≈ 712k–1.2M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 185 reviews in their first month; the range was 152 to 897.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Sokoban (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Logic, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

I'm on Observation Duty 5
2022
Est. copies
≈ 20k–33k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$56k–$150k after Steam's cut $101k–$230k before Steam's cut
$9.99
817 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Baba Is You
2019
Est. copies
≈ 712k–1.2M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleIndie
Can of Wormholes
2023
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$81k–$218k after Steam's cut $147k–$336k before Steam's cut
$19.99
595 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SokobanIndie
Linelith
2022
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$31k–$82k after Steam's cut $56k–$127k before Steam's cut
$2.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualPuzzle
Patrick's Parabox
2022
Est. copies
≈ 146k–237k
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$803k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleSokoban
Chip's Challenge 1
2015
Est. copies
≈ 48k–77k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
976 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleSokoban
Hexologic
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42k–67k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$57k–$153k after Steam's cut $104k–$236k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LogicPuzzle
Akin
2016
Est. copies
≈ 41k–67k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$56k–$152k after Steam's cut $103k–$233k before Steam's cut
$4.99
988 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualIndie

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