How much revenue did Hexologic make?

$57k–$153k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Hexologic sell?

Q: How many copies did Hexologic sell?

42k to 67k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 42k–67k; $57k–$153k after Steam's cut $104k–$236k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hexologic and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hexologic's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 359k–761k

best case 1.5M (Trailmakers)

Games like Hexologic

A typical game among these

≈ 359k–761k copies

≈ $2.3M–$4.6M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Trailmakers at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 539 to 15k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (5 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Space + Action-Adventure, priced around $25.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Outcore: Desktop Adventure 2022	Est. copies ≈ 457k–743k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	18k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventurePsychological Horror
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Lost in Play 2022	Est. copies ≈ 234k–380k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzlePoint & Click
Biped 2020	Est. copies ≈ 287k–466k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Character CustomizationEmotional
Trailmakers 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	39k reviews Very Positive	SpaceAction
Murders on the Yangtze River 2024	Est. copies ≈ 528k–858k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveAdventure