How much revenue did LAPIN make?

$47k–$125k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did LAPIN sell?

Q: How many copies did LAPIN sell?

9k to 15k copies, based on its 360 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 9k–15k; $47k–$125k after Steam's cut $85k–$193k before Steam's cut; from 360 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LAPIN and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LAPIN's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 761k–1.6M

best case 5.9M (Celeste)

Games like LAPIN

A typical game among these

≈ 761k–1.6M copies

≈ $4.0M–$15.3M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 13k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Hand-drawn (6 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Precision Platformer + Great Soundtrack + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Pentiment 2022	Est. copies ≈ 244k–397k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HistoricalStory Rich
Celeste 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M 7.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Precision PlatformerDifficult
Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.0M–$29.5M after Steam's cut $20.0M–$45.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	54k reviews Very Positive	EmotionalStory Rich
Gorogoa 2017	Est. copies ≈ 717k–1.2M SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.0M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleHand-drawn
Sanfu 2023	Est. copies ≈ 443k–720k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut	$10.99	18k reviews Very Positive	MysteryRPG
SANABI 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	45k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsStory Rich
Nine Sols 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.4M–$25.2M after Steam's cut $17.0M–$38.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	46k reviews Very Positive	Metroidvania Souls-like
Machinarium 2009	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Point & ClickPuzzle