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How many copies did LAPIN sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–14k
$46k–$124k after Steam's cut $84k–$190k before the cut
from 355 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left LAPIN out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LAPIN's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 760k–1.6M
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like LAPIN

The middle of these games

≈ 760k–1.6M copies

≈ $4.0M–$15.2M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.3M copies, ≈ $24.6M–$66.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Hand-drawn (6 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Precision Platformer + Great Soundtrack + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Pentiment
2022
Est. copies
≈ 243k–395k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before the cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HistoricalStory Rich
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.3M
7.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.6M–$66.0M after Steam's cut $44.7M–$101.6M before the cut
$19.99
147k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.9M–$29.3M after Steam's cut $19.8M–$45.1M before the cut
$29.99
53k reviews
Very Positive
EmotionalStory Rich
Gorogoa
2017
Est. copies
≈ 715k–1.2M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.2M before the cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleHand-drawn
Sanfu
2023
Est. copies
≈ 443k–719k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before the cut
$10.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryRPG
SANABI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.0M before the cut
$14.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsStory Rich
Nine Sols
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.3M–$25.0M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.4M before the cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Very Positive
Machinarium
2009
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.2M–$19.4M after Steam's cut $13.1M–$29.8M before the cut
$19.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Point & ClickPuzzle

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