How much revenue did Tainted Grail: The Fall of Avalon make?

$11.0M–$29.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tainted Grail: The Fall of Avalon sell?

Q: How many copies did Tainted Grail: The Fall of Avalon sell?

886k to 1.4M copies, based on its 36k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 886k–1.4M; $11.0M–$29.5M after Steam's cut $19.9M–$45.4M before Steam's cut; from 36k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tainted Grail: The Fall of Avalon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tainted Grail: The Fall of Avalon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 965k–5.1M

best case 26.4M (The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim)

Games like Tainted Grail: The Fall of Avalon

A typical game among these

≈ 965k–5.1M copies

≈ $9.1M–$46.9M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim at ≈ 20.1M–32.6M copies, ≈ $110.4M–$296.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Fantasy (6 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Fantasy, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2018, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Warhammer: End Times - Vermintide 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.6M–$23.2M after Steam's cut $15.7M–$35.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	21k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionOnline Co-Op
Warhammer: Vermintide 2 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.3M 6.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $37.0M–$99.6M after Steam's cut $67.3M–$153.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	148k reviews Very Positive	Co-opDark Fantasy
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim 2011	Est. copies ≈ 20.1M–32.6M 15x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.9M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	318k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009) 2009	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.8M–$37.2M after Steam's cut $25.2M–$57.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGOpen World
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition Deluxe (2009) 2009	Est. copies ≈ 0 too small to compare SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut	$19.99	0 reviews No user reviews	RPGOpen World
Gothic® 3 2009	Est. copies ≈ 785k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	12k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World
Risen 2009	Est. copies ≈ 686k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	11k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World
ELEX 2017	Est. copies ≈ 675k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.6M–$15.0M after Steam's cut $10.1M–$23.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	20k reviews Mostly Positive	RPGOpen World