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How many copies did Frontiers Reach sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
from 20 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Frontiers Reach and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Frontiers Reach's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–37k
best case 36k (Ex-Zodiac)
Games like Frontiers Reach

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–37k copies

≈ $4k–$210k after Steam's cut

from ~515 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Ex-Zodiac at ≈ 27k–44k copies, ≈ $90k–$241k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 60 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 273.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (8 of 8) and Flight (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with On-Rails Shooter + Shoot 'Em Up, priced around $12.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Space Battle SVF
2021
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$27–$73 after Steam's cut $49–$112 before Steam's cut
$0.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
ShooterFlight
Rocket Assault: Downhill Rush
2023
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before Steam's cut
$7.99
238 reviews
Very Positive
RacingAction
MH-Zombie
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$2.99
126 reviews
Very Positive
FlightArcade
Thunder Wolves
2013
Est. copies
≈ 52k–85k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$143k–$384k after Steam's cut $260k–$591k before Steam's cut
$9.99
823 reviews
Very Positive
FlightShoot 'Em Up
Ex-Zodiac
2022
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$90k–$241k after Steam's cut $163k–$371k before Steam's cut
$11.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
On-Rails ShooterShoot 'Em Up
Red Wings: Aces of the Sky
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$108k–$290k after Steam's cut $196k–$447k before Steam's cut
$19.99
792 reviews
Mixed
ActionFlight
Flying Tigers: Shadows Over China
2017
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$131k–$352k after Steam's cut $238k–$541k before Steam's cut
$14.99
923 reviews
Mostly Positive
FlightWorld War II
Space Dragon
2017
Est. copies
≈ 447–727
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
$14.99
13 reviews
Positive
ActionVR

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