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How many copies did Role of Hex sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
from 98 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Role of Hex and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Role of Hex's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 359k–827k
best case 758k (Tribes of Midgard)
Games like Role of Hex

A typical game among these

≈ 359k–827k copies

≈ $954k–$5.3M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tribes of Midgard at ≈ 577k–938k copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (6 of 8) and Tower Defense (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Action RPG, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tribes of Midgard
2021
Est. copies
≈ 577k–938k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
23k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open World Survival CraftOnline Co-Op
Dome Keeper
2022
Est. copies
≈ 558k–906k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$17.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerPost-apocalyptic
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Mountain
2014
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$248k–$668k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$0.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie
Rogue Tower
2022
Est. copies
≈ 147k–239k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$607k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Dungeon of the ENDLESS™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 787k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$11.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeStrategy
Cluckmech Oasis
2024
Est. copies
≈ 90k–147k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$248k–$666k after Steam's cut $450k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRogue-like
Wall World
2023
Est. copies
≈ 316k–513k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$607k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$6.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-liteMining

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