How much revenue did Arcade Spirits: The New Challengers make?

$26k–$70k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Arcade Spirits: The New Challengers sell?

Q: How many copies did Arcade Spirits: The New Challengers sell?

5k to 8k copies, based on its 192 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–8k; $26k–$70k after Steam's cut $48k–$108k before Steam's cut; from 192 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Arcade Spirits: The New Challengers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arcade Spirits: The New Challengers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 550k–904k

best case 1.7M (Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy)

Games like Arcade Spirits: The New Challengers

A typical game among these

≈ 550k–904k copies

≈ $2.8M–$10.4M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 800 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (7 of 8) and Choices Matter (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Detective + Visual Novel, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Until Then 2024	Est. copies ≈ 484k–786k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	19k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelPixel Graphics
A Date with Death 2023	Est. copies ≈ 371k–603k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Dating SimVisual Novel
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	45k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveVisual Novel
missed messages. 2019	Est. copies ≈ 448k–728k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayVisual Novel
Monster Prom 2018	Est. copies ≈ 436k–708k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut	$11.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Dating SimComedy
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CyberpunkVisual Novel
BAD END THEATER 2021	Est. copies ≈ 250k–406k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $687k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut	$9.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Multiple EndingsVisual Novel
The Red Strings Club 2018	Est. copies ≈ 435k–708k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	14k reviews Very Positive	CyberpunkPixel Graphics